References

Original Reference: MANAGEMENT OF THE ECONOMIC CAPACITY OF THE REGION ON THE BASIS OF FORESIGHT (ON THE EXAMPLE OF ADYGEA, RUSSIA), E. Zakharova +3, 2015, 5 citations

Brief Summary: Discusses how future technologies will impact rural-urban interactions. PoliRuralPlus should integrate technology-driven solutions into RAPs to bridge the digital divide and improve rural-urban infrastructure.

URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2015.01.012

Original Reference: Evolution in the rationales of foresight in Europe, Monica Cariola +1, 2004, 49 citations, DOI

Brief Summary: Explores the role of technological advancements in driving rural development. Implications: Technology is key to improving rural economic and social conditions. Recommendations: RAPs should include strategies for digital transformation and technological infrastructure development in rural areas, enhancing connectivity and innovation.

URL: Technological Forecasting and Social Change

Original Reference: Foresight - refining the process, R. Johnston , International Journal of Technology Management, 2001, 25 citations, DOI

Brief Summary: Explores how technological innovations can drive rural economic growth and development. Implications: Technology is a critical enabler for improving rural livelihoods and reducing urban migration. Recommendations: RAPs should integrate digital infrastructure and support rural entrepreneurship to strengthen rural-urban economic ties.

URL: DOI: 10.1504/IJTM.2001.002974

Original Reference: Strategic foresight in public policy: Reviewing the experiences of the UK, Singapore, and the Netherlands, Beat Habegger , 2010, 114 citations, DOI

Brief Summary: Explores the role of technology in fostering rural-urban synergies. Implications: Technology is critical for enhancing rural-urban connectivity. Recommendations: RAPs should integrate advanced technological solutions to enhance rural digital infrastructure and innovation.

URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2009.11.001

Original Reference: Measuring convergence

Brief Summary: Examines social, economic, and institutional convergence in the EU. PoliRuralPlus can use these insights to ensure upward social and economic cohesion across rural-urban regions​(

URL: https://www.eurofound.europa.eu/en/topics/overvakning-av-konvergensen-inom-europeiska-unionen

Original Reference: Planning The Rural-urban Interface UnderSustainable Principles: A Methodological Proposal, R. Rojas-Caldelas +6, 2008, 5 citations, DOI

Brief Summary: Discusses the use of foresight techniques to anticipate rural-urban integration challenges. Recommendations: Apply foresight tools in RAPs to anticipate future trends, such as migration and technological advancements, and design adaptable, forward-looking rural-urban policies.

URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2007.11.003

Original Reference: Clar, G., Destatte, P. (2006). Regional Foresight - Boosting Regional Potential. In: Mutual Learning Platform - Investing in Research and Innovation in European Regions, Chapter: Regional Foresight Publisher. IRE Secretariat.

Brief Summary: This study discusses the role of foresight and territorial planning in shaping sustainable regional development, emphasizing rural-urban linkages. Implications: Territorial foresight helps anticipate future challenges in rural-urban integration, guiding sustainable policy development. Recommendations: Use foresight methodologies in regional action plans to anticipate and address future challenges, such as climate change, economic shifts, and population trends, fostering stronger rural-urban linkages and ensuring long-term sustainability.

URL: Territorial Planning Foresight

Original Reference: The art of the long view: Planning for the future in an uncertain world, Schwartz, P., 1996, Currency Doubleday.

Brief Summary: This book by Peter Schwartz provides a framework for strategic foresight and scenario planning. Implication: PoliRuralPlus pilots should integrate foresight methodologies from this book to improve long-term planning and resilience in rural-urban strategies.

URL: https://books.google.com/books/about/The_Art_of_the_Long_View.html?id=e-lKlaIF4xIC

Original Reference: Approaches to analyzing the rural-urban interface: comprehensive development views from town and countryside, R. Rojas-Caldelas +5, 2010, 6 citations, PDFDOI

Brief Summary: Explores the economic interactions between rural and urban areas, focusing on synergies and challenges. Suggests developing policies that support mutual economic growth through rural-urban collaboration, critical for PoliRuralPlus pilots.

URL: Economic Geography

Original Reference: Regional Development and Planning: The Story of a Collaboration, J. Friedmann , 2001, 18 citations, DOI

Brief Summary: Explores the relationship between environmental degradation and income levels, showing that environmental impacts can improve with income growth after a certain threshold. Recommendations: RAPs should emphasize sustainability measures that align rural-urban economic growth with environmental health.

URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0016-7185(01)00070-5

Original Reference: Burgelman, JC., Chloupková, J. & Wobbe, W. Foresight in support of European research and innovation policies: The European Commission is preparing the funding of grand societal challenges. Eur J Futures Res 2, 55 (2014).

Brief Summary: This book explores the evolution of European spatial development and the challenges that arise from globalization. It addresses how rural-urban linkages can be optimized through regional planning and cross-border cooperation. Implications for PoliRuralPlus include using historical insights and modern planning approaches to enhance rural-urban dynamics. Recommendations involve incorporating cross-border cooperation models in RAPs and fostering regional collaboration to ensure a balanced development that accommodates global challenges such as migration and economic shifts.

URL: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40309-014-0055-4

Original Reference: Preparing for the urban future, Joseph F. Coates , 1992, 17 citations, DOI

Brief Summary: Looks at future trends in urban-rural relations, focusing on technological advancements. Recommendations: RAPs should anticipate technological developments in transport and communications that could improve connectivity and economic opportunities in rural-urban regions.

URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0040-1625(00)00007-6

Original Reference: Tools for Futures Thinking and Foresight Across UK Government Edition 1.0 November 2017

Brief Summary: This toolkit provides methods for strategic foresight, scenario planning, and long-term policy development. Implication: PoliRuralPlus pilots should integrate foresight tools from this guide to anticipate challenges and inform long-term rural-urban linkage planning, ensuring adaptability and resilience.

URL: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/674209/futures-toolkit-edition-1.pdf

Original Reference: The black swan: The impact of the highly improbable (Vol. 2), Taleb, N. N., 2007, Random House. Tools for Futures Thinking and Foresight Across UK Government Edition 1.0 November 2017

Brief Summary: This toolkit provides a framework for applying futures thinking in policymaking. It includes foresight tools for scenario planning, risk assessment, and long-term strategy development. Implication: Policymakers in PoliRuralPlus can utilize foresight methodologies from the toolkit to anticipate trends affecting rural-urban linkages and craft resilient, future-oriented RAPs.

URL: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/674209/futures-toolkit-edition-1.pdf

Original Reference: Mendizabal, M. & Zorita, S. (2018). RESIN Adaptation Options Library. RESIN Project Deliverable 3.5.

Brief Summary: Provides adaptation strategies for cities facing climate risks. PoliRuralPlus should focus on these strategies to enhance climate resilience in both rural and urban areas.

URL: https://resin-cities.eu/fileadmin/user_upload/Resources/Adaptation_library/RESIN-D3.6_Completed_library_of_adaptation_options.pdf

Original Reference: Cassingena Harper, Jennifer “Impact of Technology Foresight.” NESTA Working Paper, No. 13/16, 2013,

Brief Summary: This report investigates how technology foresight initiatives influence regional innovation, especially in shaping future technology and development trends. Implications: Technology foresight can be used to anticipate challenges and opportunities in rural-urban regions. Recommendations: Use foresight methodologies to develop forward-looking regional action plans, with a focus on integrating digital technologies and innovation to enhance rural-urban linkages and improve regional competitiveness.

URL: Impact of Technology Foresight

Original Reference: IRM (Institute for Risk Management). Horizon scanning: A practitioner’s guide. 2018.

Brief Summary: This report discusses future risks, including environmental, social, and technological changes that could impact rural and urban regions. Implications: Horizon scanning can help identify emerging risks that may affect rural-urban development. Recommendations: RAPs should incorporate risk assessments and horizon scanning tools to anticipate and mitigate future challenges, particularly those related to climate change, technological disruptions, and demographic shifts.

URL: https://www.theirm.org/media/4047721/Horizon-scanning_final2.pdf

Original Reference: The exploratory analysis of trade-offs in strategic planning: Lessons from Regional Infrastructure Foresight, Eckhard Störmer +10, 2009, 51 citations, DOI

Brief Summary: This paper focuses on foresight as a tool for planning sustainable development, particularly in addressing future uncertainties. Implication: PoliRuralPlus pilots should incorporate foresight methods to predict future challenges and opportunities, ensuring flexible, adaptive regional action plans.

URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2008.11.006

Original Reference: Foresighted urban planning, D. Bardauskienė +1, 2012, 15 citations, DOI

Brief Summary: Examines the use of foresight in strategic planning, especially for environmental sustainability. Implications: Foresight tools can help rural areas prepare for future environmental and economic shifts. Recommendations: RAPs should adopt foresight methodologies to ensure resilient and adaptable rural-urban development strategies.

URL: DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2012.06.001

Original Reference: Mazzucato, M. (2018). Mission-oriented innovation policies: challenges and opportunities, Industrial and Corporate Change, Volume 27, Issue 5, October 2018, Pages 803–815

Brief Summary: Focuses on how innovation can drive rural development. PoliRuralPlus should support technological and social innovation in rural-urban linkages to stimulate economic growth and regional competitiveness.

URL: https://doi.org/10.1093/icc/dty034